Mithrandir Metrics
Player Atlanta Braves Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Atlanta Braves

Tyler Kinley

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 4", 220 lb · Age 35

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Atlanta Braves Position P Roster Injured 15-Day Status IL-15
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024616.196701264.0721.47
2025633.96730372.2731.18
2026423.18310028.1311.20
9 Seasons23164.63373021359.23731.33
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-15
73
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
72
Arsenal4 metrics
79
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-15
ERA preseason4.03
ERA current pace3.18
ERA rolling p503.73
Observed weight34%
ERA
1.86 2.75 3.73 4.72 5.60
FIP
2.45 3.21 4.06 4.90 5.67
K%
19.7% 22.0% 24.6% 27.2% 29.5%
BB%
6.7% 8.2% 9.8% 11.5% 12.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-15
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.15
72
ERA3.18
67
BB%7.9%
62 +36 vs proj
K%26.2%
77 +20 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.269
86
Barrel allowed6.2%
72 +31 vs proj
Fastball velo94.6
53
Hard-hit allowed27.2%
98
Whiff%24.8%
64 -19 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-15
Slider Stuff+108
89
Curveball Stuff+105
95
Fastball Stuff+101
41
Mithrandir Stuff+107
89
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Kinley, Tyler · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.269 2026-06-04: 0.2642026-06-05: 0.2682026-06-06: 0.2682026-06-07: 0.2682026-06-08: 0.2692026-06-09: 0.2692026-06-10: 0.2692026-06-11: 0.2692026-06-12: 0.2692026-06-13: 0.2692026-06-14: 0.2692026-06-15: 0.269 2026-06-04 2026-06-15 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 65%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Kinley, Tyler · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 41%41%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 46%46%Hard hit allowed: 27%27% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Kinley, Tyler · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 65.2%Curveball: 17.6%4-Seam Fastball: 16.8%Sinker: 0.4% SL65% · 87 mphprimary pitch SL 65%CU 18%FF 17%SI 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Kinley, Tyler · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Slider: 65% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 87.0 mphSL87 mphCurveball: 18% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 50″ drop, 83.0 mphCU83 mph4-Seam Fastball: 17% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 94.6 mphFF95 mphSinker: 0% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 94.7 mphSI95 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 67.3% 264 108 qualified
CB 17.1% 67 105 limited sample
FB 15.6% 61 101 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age35
Height6' 4"
Weight220 lb
Debut2018-04-07
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.16
K% Δ+0.027

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.2σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.315
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.269

Kinley’s wOBA-against sits at 0.315, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.269 — a gap of 0.046, 1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 30 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202623.5% K | 4.34 ERAProjection
2026-04-20 @ WSH0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-15 vs MIA0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-14 vs MIA0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-11 vs CLE1 ER / 0 K0.1 IP
2026-04-07 @ LAA0 ER / 2 K0.2 IP