Mithrandir Metrics
Player Atlanta Braves Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Atlanta Braves

Raisel Iglesias

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 190 lb · Age 36

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Atlanta Braves Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024621.956603469.1680.74
2025463.217002967.1731.00
2026122.595803459.0641.08
12 Seasons43572.8865821287795.09331.05
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
83
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
71
Arsenal5 metrics
62
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason3.44
ERA current pace2.68
ERA rolling p503.05
Observed weight51%
ERA
1.65 2.32 3.05 3.79 4.46
FIP
2.28 2.69 3.15 3.61 4.02
K%
22.8% 24.9% 27.2% 29.5% 31.6%
BB%
5.0% 5.9% 6.8% 7.8% 8.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.11
84
ERA2.68
89
BB%6.9%
80
K%27.8%
85
xwOBA allowed0.287
79
Barrel allowed9.4%
20 -29 vs proj
Fastball velo94.3
49
Hard-hit allowed36.5%
65
Whiff%27.3%
84
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-26
Fastball Stuff+103
56
Mithrandir Stuff+103
64
Changeup Stuff+105
76
Sinker Stuff+105
73
Slider Stuff+101
40
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Iglesias, Raisel · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.287 2026-09-12: 0.2962026-09-13: 0.2962026-09-14: 0.2962026-09-18: 0.2982026-09-19: 0.2942026-09-20: 0.2942026-09-21: 0.2912026-09-22: 0.2912026-09-23: 0.2912026-09-24: 0.2872026-09-25: 0.2872026-09-26: 0.287 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 37%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Iglesias, Raisel · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 40%40%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 27%27%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 61%61%Hard hit allowed: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Iglesias, Raisel · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 37.2%Changeup: 35.9%Sinker: 18.8%Slider: 8.1% FF37% · 94 mphprimary pitch FF 37%CH 36%SI 19%SL 8% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Iglesias, Raisel · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 37% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 94.3 mphFF94 mphChangeup: 36% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 88.4 mphCH88 mphSinker: 19% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 23″ drop, 94.4 mphSI94 mphSlider: 8% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 82.7 mphSL83 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 40.3% 203 103 qualified
CH 35.5% 179 105 limited sample
SI 16.7% 84 105 limited sample
SL 7.5% 38 101 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age36
Height6' 2"
Weight190 lb
Debut2015-04-12
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.75
K% Δ+0.024

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.5σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.301
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.287

Iglesias’s wOBA-against sits at 0.301, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.287 — a gap of 0.014, 0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 61 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202625.4% K | 3.43 ERAProjection
2026-04-15 vs MIA0 ER / 3 K1.0 IP
2026-04-14 vs MIA0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-07 @ LAA0 ER / 3 K1.2 IP
2026-04-05 @ AZ0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-03 @ AZ0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP