Mithrandir Metrics
Player Atlanta Braves Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Atlanta Braves

Reynaldo López

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 225 lb · Age 32

Cards
13
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Atlanta Braves Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024851.9926250135.21481.11
2025005.401105.012.20
2026423.50229061.2541.26
11 Seasons51563.912901326882.08201.27
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
44
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
46
Arsenal5 metrics
18
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
ERA preseason3.02
ERA current pace3.50
ERA rolling p503.29
Observed weight55%
ERA
2.15 2.69 3.29 3.89 4.43
FIP
2.92 3.40 3.94 4.48 4.96
K%
19.7% 21.4% 23.2% 25.0% 26.6%
BB%
7.2% 8.0% 8.9% 9.7% 10.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.33
48
ERA3.50
63
BB%9.7%
35 -23 vs proj
K%20.5%
36 -41 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.327
37
Barrel allowed7.4%
57
Fastball velo93.9
41
Hard-hit allowed34.8%
77
Whiff%19.7%
23 -41 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-16
Fastball Stuff+103
56
Mithrandir Stuff+98
22
Slider Stuff+93
5
Changeup Stuff+91
4
Curveball Stuff+98
3
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed López, Reynaldo · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.327 2026-07-05: 0.3312026-07-06: 0.3312026-07-07: 0.3312026-07-08: 0.3272026-07-09: 0.3272026-07-10: 0.3272026-07-11: 0.3272026-07-12: 0.3272026-07-13: 0.3272026-07-14: 0.3272026-07-15: 0.3272026-07-16: 0.327 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 54%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile López, Reynaldo · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal López, Reynaldo · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 54.3%Slider: 29.6%Curveball: 12.2%Changeup: 3.9% FF54% · 94 mphprimary pitch FF 54%SL 30%CU 12%CH 4% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal López, Reynaldo · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 54% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 93.9 mphFF94 mphSlider: 30% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 39″ drop, 83.5 mphSL84 mphCurveball: 12% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 58″ drop, 74.0 mphCU74 mphChangeup: 4% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 83.6 mphCH84 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 53.8% 407 103 qualified
SL 32.0% 242 93 qualified
CB 10.8% 82 98 limited sample
CH 3.3% 25 91 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height6' 1"
Weight225 lb
Debut2016-07-19
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.50
K% Δ-0.060

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.5σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.369
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.327

López’s wOBA-against sits at 0.369, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.327 — a gap of 0.043, 1.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 69 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching132026-07-11Four-Seam Fastball played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202626.5% K | 3.00 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 vs MIA3 ER / 6 K5.0 IP
2026-04-07 @ LAA0 ER / 7 K4.2 IP
2026-04-02 @ AZ1 ER / 3 K5.0 IP