Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Jose Trevino

C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 9", 215 lb · Age 33

Cards
8
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Cincinnati Reds Position C Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024234264581.215.288.354.642
2025302306740.238.272.351.623
2026156123350.217.221.336.557
9 Seasons1732173381414.235.270.358.628
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
11
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
18
Defense4 metrics
59
Speed1 metrics
0
Plate skills11 metrics
50
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.293
xwOBA current pace0.222
xwOBA rolling p500.262
Observed weight44%
xwOBA
0.229 0.245 0.262 0.280 0.296
wOBA
0.251 0.272 0.295 0.319 0.340
ISO
0.102 0.125 0.150 0.175 0.198
K%
13.2% 14.9% 16.8% 18.8% 20.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.3%
16
Exit velocity84.5
16
Hard-hit%30.4%
18
xBA0.264
10
xSLG0.365
5
xwOBA0.222
3 -18 vs proj
BB%1.2%
1 -21 vs proj
Bat speed66.5
17
K%18.1%
77
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs1.1 · C
84
Catcher Throwing0.7 · C
66
Framing Runs1.4 · C
68
Pop Time2.0 · C
19
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed23.4 · C
0
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.6% · rebadged research
17
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 35.1% · rebadged research
4
Correct Decisions60.2% · rebadged research
8
Mithrandir Stuff+62
2
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.258 · borderline
95
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.255 · insufficient sample
96
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.264 · validated thin sample
86
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.316 · insufficient sample
75
Resists FastballwOBA 0.327 · validated
72
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.329 · validated
93
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline85
5
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Trevino, Jose · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.222 2026-09-13: 0.2162026-09-14: 0.2162026-09-18: 0.2172026-09-19: 0.2202026-09-20: 0.2202026-09-21: 0.2202026-09-22: 0.2202026-09-23: 0.2202026-09-24: 0.2202026-09-25: 0.2202026-09-26: 0.2222026-09-27: 0.222 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 54%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Trevino, Jose · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 52%52%Chase: 36%36%Whiff: 20%20%Zone contact: 89%89%Contact: 80%80%Hard hit: 30%30% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Trevino, Jose · 2026 arsenal snapshot Eephus: 53.6%Knuckleball: 39.2%Other: 7.2% EP54% · 39 mphprimary pitch EP 54%KN 39%FA 7% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Trevino, Jose · 2026 arsenal snapshot 6″12″18″24″ Eephus: 54% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 38.6 mphEP39 mphKnuckleball: 39% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 8″ drop, 54.7 mphKN55 mphOther: 7% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 7″ drop, 52.9 mphFA53 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 100.0% 7 48 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age33
Height5' 9"
Weight215 lb
Debut2018-06-15
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.051
wOBA Δ+0.022

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.1σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.295
xwOBA (deserved)0.222

Trevino’s wOBA sits at 0.295, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.222 — a gap of 0.073, -2.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 171 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-07-02Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Fielding72026-09-251 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.218
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.273 xwOBA | 9 HRProjection
2026-04-04 @ TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K
2026-03-31 vs PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E1-2 | BB