Mithrandir Metrics
Player Colorado Rockies Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Colorado Rockies

Antonio Senzatela

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 235 lb · Age 31

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Colorado Rockies Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024016.5733012.171.86
20254156.6530230130.0731.84
2026923.31300349.0421.22
10 Seasons52615.072081453871.05731.50
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
63
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
62
Arsenal7 metrics
63
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
ERA preseason4.99
ERA current pace3.31
ERA rolling p504.21
Observed weight46%
ERA
2.41 3.26 4.21 5.16 6.01
FIP
2.77 3.34 3.97 4.59 5.16
K%
14.1% 15.9% 18.0% 20.1% 21.9%
BB%
5.8% 6.7% 7.6% 8.6% 9.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.18
71
ERA3.31
69
BB%7.7%
64
K%20.7%
37 +26 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.291
70 +59 vs proj
Barrel allowed5.4%
82 +44 vs proj
Fastball velo97.0
87
Hard-hit allowed39.9%
43
Whiff%21.3%
37 +20 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-16
Fastball Stuff+109
93
Mithrandir Stuff+106
85
Changeup Stuff+107
83
Curveball Stuff+101
39
Cutter Stuff+101
41
Sinker Stuff+108
94
Slider Stuff+92
4
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Senzatela, Antonio · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.291 2026-07-05: 0.2892026-07-06: 0.2882026-07-07: 0.2882026-07-08: 0.2872026-07-09: 0.2872026-07-10: 0.2932026-07-11: 0.2932026-07-12: 0.2922026-07-13: 0.2922026-07-14: 0.2912026-07-15: 0.2912026-07-16: 0.291 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 39%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Senzatela, Antonio · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 40%40%Zone: 50%50%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 52%52%Hard hit allowed: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Senzatela, Antonio · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 38.6%Cutter: 29.8%Sinker: 11.7%Curveball: 10.0%Changeup: 6.9%Slider: 3.0% FF39% · 97 mphprimary pitch FF 39%FC 30%SI 12%CU 10%CH 7%SL 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Senzatela, Antonio · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 39% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 97.3 mphFF97 mphCutter: 30% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 91.9 mphFC92 mphSinker: 12% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 96.0 mphSI96 mphCurveball: 10% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 44″ drop, 83.2 mphCU83 mphChangeup: 7% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 26″ drop, 91.0 mphCH91 mphSlider: 3% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 86.4 mphSL86 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 36.7% 209 109 qualified
FC 30.2% 172 101 limited sample
SI 12.0% 68 108 limited sample
CB 10.2% 58 101 limited sample
CH 7.6% 43 107 limited sample
SL 3.3% 19 92 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height6' 1"
Weight235 lb
Debut2017-04-06
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.69
K% Δ+0.046

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.3σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.300
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.291

Senzatela’s wOBA-against sits at 0.300, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.291 — a gap of 0.009, 0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 51 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching12026-02-20Command and chase profile drove the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202616.1% K | 5.00 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 vs TEX0 ER / 1 K2.0 IP
2026-04-14 @ HOU0 ER / 3 K3.1 IP
2026-04-07 vs HOU0 ER / 3 K2.2 IP
2026-04-01 @ TOR0 ER / 3 K2.0 IP
2026-03-29 @ MIA0 ER / 3 K2.2 IP