Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Tejay Antone

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 4", 230 lb · Age 32

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Cincinnati Reds Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2023001.595105.270.88
2024004.504002.023.00
2026323.11580155.0571.09
5 Seasons552.7310354131.21531.04
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
72
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
66
Arsenal6 metrics
60
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason3.92
ERA current pace3.29
ERA rolling p503.60
Observed weight51%
ERA
1.46 2.47 3.60 4.73 5.74
FIP
2.06 2.93 3.89 4.86 5.72
K%
17.2% 19.3% 21.7% 24.0% 26.1%
BB%
5.5% 6.6% 7.8% 9.0% 10.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.16
78
ERA3.29
76
BB%7.3%
74 +42 vs proj
K%23.9%
65 +28 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.301
67
Barrel allowed7.8%
45
Fastball velo94.2
46
Hard-hit allowed35.1%
75
Whiff%25.6%
72 +27 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-26
Slider Stuff+106
82
Curveball Stuff+101
28
Cutter Stuff+104
73
Fastball Stuff+105
70
Mithrandir Stuff+105
74
Sinker Stuff+100
32
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Antone, Tejay · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.301 2026-09-12: 0.2982026-09-13: 0.2962026-09-14: 0.2962026-09-18: 0.2992026-09-19: 0.3022026-09-20: 0.3022026-09-21: 0.3022026-09-22: 0.3022026-09-23: 0.3012026-09-24: 0.3012026-09-25: 0.3012026-09-26: 0.301 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

8Pitches 2026Season 51%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Antone, Tejay · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 26%26%Called strike: 20%20%First pitch strike: 57%57%Hard hit allowed: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Antone, Tejay · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sweeper: 51.2%Cutter: 18.3%Curveball: 11.7%Sinker: 11.3%4-Seam Fastball: 5.9%Slider: 1.3% ST51% · 84 mphprimary pitch ST 51%FC 18%CU 12%SI 11%FF 6%SL 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Antone, Tejay · 2026 arsenal snapshot 18″36″54″72″ Sweeper: 51% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 83.8 mphST84 mphCutter: 18% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 26″ drop, 90.3 mphFC90 mphCurveball: 12% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 53″ drop, 81.7 mphCU82 mphSinker: 11% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 28″ drop, 93.8 mphSI94 mph4-Seam Fastball: 6% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 94.8 mphFF95 mphSlider: 1% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 87.6 mphSL88 mphSlow Curve: 0% usage, 13″ horizontal break, 67″ drop, 70.9 mphCS71 mphPitch Out: 0% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 93.1 mphPO93 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 52.8% 236 106 qualified
FC 17.9% 80 104 limited sample
CB 12.8% 57 101 limited sample
SI 11.4% 51 100 limited sample
FB 5.1% 23 105 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height6' 4"
Weight230 lb
Debut2020-07-27
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.71
K% Δ+0.035

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.7σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.354
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.301

Antone’s wOBA-against sits at 0.354, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.301 — a gap of 0.053, 1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 57 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202620.4% K | 5.00 ERAProjection
2026-08-15 vs MIA3 ER / 0 K0.1 IP