Mithrandir Metrics
Player Minnesota Twins Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Minnesota Twins

A.J. Minter

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 0", 215 lb · Age 33

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Minnesota Twins Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024542.62390134.1351.02
2025001.64130011.0141.00
2026222.56480145.2411.05
10 Seasons26313.15445037405.14771.17
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
80
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
60
Arsenal4 metrics
76
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason3.55
ERA current pace2.42
ERA rolling p503.06
Observed weight43%
ERA
1.57 2.28 3.06 3.85 4.56
FIP
3.27 3.64 4.04 4.45 4.81
K%
19.9% 21.9% 24.2% 26.5% 28.5%
BB%
4.2% 5.4% 6.6% 7.9% 9.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.07
88
ERA2.42
92
BB%4.4%
99 +49 vs proj
K%22.4%
52 -21 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.300
68 +19 vs proj
Barrel allowed9.8%
16 -21 vs proj
Fastball velo93.5
33
Hard-hit allowed37.1%
60
Whiff%20.6%
32 -45 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Changeup Stuff+106
79
Cutter Stuff+102
51
Fastball Stuff+109
92
Mithrandir Stuff+106
82
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Minter, A.j. · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.300 2026-09-13: 0.2852026-09-14: 0.2852026-09-18: 0.2922026-09-19: 0.2922026-09-20: 0.2932026-09-21: 0.2992026-09-22: 0.2992026-09-23: 0.3022026-09-24: 0.3002026-09-25: 0.3002026-09-26: 0.3002026-09-27: 0.300 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 55%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Minter, A.j. · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 13%13%First pitch strike: 44%44%Hard hit allowed: 37%37% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Minter, A.j. · 2026 arsenal snapshot Cutter: 55.2%4-Seam Fastball: 27.7%Changeup: 12.6%Sinker: 4.5% FC55% · 89 mphprimary pitch FC 55%FF 28%CH 13%SI 4% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Minter, A.j. · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ Cutter: 55% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 89.0 mphFC89 mph4-Seam Fastball: 28% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 93.5 mphFF93 mphChangeup: 13% usage, 13″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 86.4 mphCH86 mphSinker: 4% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 93.4 mphSI93 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FC 57.2% 182 102 limited sample
FB 26.7% 85 109 limited sample
CH 13.2% 42 106 limited sample
SI 2.8% 9 118 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age33
Height6' 0"
Weight215 lb
Debut2017-08-23
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.41
K% Δ-0.029

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.3σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.311
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.300

Minter’s wOBA-against sits at 0.311, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.300 — a gap of 0.011, 0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 44 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202625.3% K | 3.83 ERAProjection
2026-08-15 vs PHI0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP