Mithrandir Metrics
Player Philadelphia Phillies Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Philadelphia Phillies

José Alvarado

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Philadelphia Phillies Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason3.68
ERA current pace5.79
ERA rolling p504.34
Observed weight31%
ERA
2.62 3.44 4.34 5.25 6.06
FIP
2.68 3.16 3.69 4.21 4.69
K%
20.3% 22.9% 25.8% 28.6% 31.2%
BB%
5.8% 7.2% 8.8% 10.3% 11.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%8.2%
60 +23 vs proj
Barrel allowed1.5%
99 +50 vs proj
Fastball velo98.1
95
Hard-hit allowed34.8%
75
K%25.5%
72
Whiff%29.0%
87 +19 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.295
68
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+101
38
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

9 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Alvarado, José · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-23: 0.3032026-05-24: 0.3032026-05-25: 0.3032026-05-26: 0.3032026-05-28: 0.2962026-05-29: 0.2962026-05-30: 0.2962026-05-31: 0.2962026-06-01: 0.295 2026-05-23 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 64%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Alvarado, José · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 40%40%Zone: 41%41%Whiff: 29%29%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 53%53%Hard hit allowed: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Alvarado, José · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 63.7%Cutter: 33.2%Curveball: 1.6%4-Seam Fastball: 1.6% MIX SI 64%FC 33%CU 2%FF 2% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Alvarado, José · 2026 arsenal snapshot SI: HB -0.2, IVB 1.4SIFC: HB 0.0, IVB 2.3FCCU: HB 0.1, IVB 3.3CUFF: HB -0.2, IVB 1.2FF horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 63.7% 239 104 qualified
FC 32.5% 122 89 limited sample
CB 1.9% 7 105 limited sample
FB 1.9% 7 93 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height6' 2"
Weight245 lb
Debut2017-05-03
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+2.36
K% Δ+0.002
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202625.3% K | 3.43 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 vs CIN2 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-15 vs CHC0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-12 vs AZ2 ER / 0 K0.1 IP
2026-04-11 vs AZ0 ER / 0 K0.1 IP
2026-04-08 @ SF1 ER / 2 K0.2 IP