Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Yankees Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Yankees

Max Fried

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 4", 190 lb · Age 32

Cards
24
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Yankees Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
202411103.2529290174.11661.16
20251952.8632320195.11891.10
2026552.8020200112.21040.99
10 Seasons97463.0122020301192.111561.14
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
78
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
74
Arsenal7 metrics
54
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason3.23
ERA current pace2.80
ERA rolling p502.95
Observed weight66%
ERA
2.09 2.50 2.95 3.40 3.80
FIP
2.29 2.62 2.99 3.36 3.68
K%
20.5% 21.6% 22.9% 24.1% 25.3%
BB%
6.3% 6.9% 7.6% 8.3% 8.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.05
89
ERA2.80
86
BB%8.1%
61
K%23.2%
59
xwOBA allowed0.246
97 +40 vs proj
Barrel allowed2.6%
99 +42 vs proj
Fastball velo93.9
41
Hard-hit allowed32.1%
90
Whiff%22.1%
46
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Curveball Stuff+103
66
Cutter Stuff+102
54
Fastball Stuff+102
52
Mithrandir Stuff+102
53
Sinker Stuff+99
30
Changeup Stuff+101
47
Slider Stuff+105
75
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Fried, Max · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.246 2026-09-13: 0.2492026-09-14: 0.2492026-09-18: 0.2452026-09-19: 0.2452026-09-20: 0.2452026-09-21: 0.2452026-09-22: 0.2452026-09-23: 0.2462026-09-24: 0.2462026-09-25: 0.2462026-09-26: 0.2462026-09-27: 0.246 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

7Pitches 2026Season 22%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Fried, Max · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 22%22%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 48%48%Hard hit allowed: 32%32% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Fried, Max · 2026 arsenal snapshot Cutter: 22.2%Sinker: 20.7%4-Seam Fastball: 17.7%Curveball: 13.4%Changeup: 12.4%Sweeper: 12.3% FC22% · 92 mphprimary pitch FC 22%SI 21%FF 18%CU 13%CH 12%ST 12% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Fried, Max · 2026 arsenal snapshot 18″36″54″72″ Cutter: 22% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 91.8 mphFC92 mphSinker: 21% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 93.1 mphSI93 mph4-Seam Fastball: 18% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 94.8 mphFF95 mphCurveball: 13% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 68″ drop, 73.7 mphCU74 mphChangeup: 12% usage, 15″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 85.5 mphCH86 mphSweeper: 12% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 47″ drop, 79.9 mphST80 mphSlider: 1% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 85.4 mphSL85 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FC 22.5% 331 102 qualified
SI 21.9% 322 99 qualified
FB 16.7% 246 102 qualified
CB 13.6% 201 103 qualified
SL 12.8% 189 105 limited sample
CH 12.5% 184 101 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height6' 4"
Weight190 lb
Debut2017-08-08
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.64
K% Δ+0.010

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.0σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.273
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.246

Fried’s wOBA-against sits at 0.273, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.246 — a gap of 0.027, 1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 115 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching242026-09-22Cutter played up through FC/ST tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202622.2% K | 3.44 ERAProjection
2026-04-11 @ TB3 ER / 6 K8.0 IP
2026-04-05 vs MIA3 ER / 4 K6.2 IP
2026-03-31 @ SEA0 ER / 6 K7.0 IP
2026-03-25 @ SF0 ER / 4 K6.1 IP