Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Yankees Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Yankees

Carlos Rodón

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 255 lb · Age 33

Cards
6
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Yankees Position P Roster Injured 15-Day Status IL-15
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
20241693.9632320175.01951.22
20251893.0933330195.12031.05
2026423.3099046.1521.25
12 Seasons97743.7224023501328.114611.22
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
56
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
62
Arsenal5 metrics
26
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
ERA preseason3.70
ERA current pace3.30
ERA rolling p503.52
Observed weight45%
ERA
2.48 2.97 3.52 4.07 4.56
FIP
2.78 3.23 3.73 4.23 4.68
K%
22.1% 23.7% 25.6% 27.4% 29.1%
BB%
8.2% 9.1% 10.1% 11.0% 11.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.27
58
ERA3.30
70
BB%13.3%
10 -46 vs proj
K%26.7%
77
xwOBA allowed0.297
67
Barrel allowed5.2%
84 +50 vs proj
Fastball velo94.1
45
Hard-hit allowed35.7%
71
Whiff%26.3%
74
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-16
Changeup Stuff+100
34
Fastball Stuff+100
35
Mithrandir Stuff+98
22
Sinker Stuff+93
7
Slider Stuff+99
29
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Rodón, Carlos · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.297 2026-07-05: 0.2972026-07-06: 0.2972026-07-07: 0.2972026-07-08: 0.2972026-07-09: 0.2972026-07-10: 0.2972026-07-11: 0.2972026-07-12: 0.2972026-07-13: 0.2972026-07-14: 0.2972026-07-15: 0.2972026-07-16: 0.297 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 44%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Rodón, Carlos · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 44%44%Whiff: 26%26%Called strike: 13%13%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Rodón, Carlos · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 44.4%Slider: 24.3%Changeup: 15.6%Sinker: 14.1%Curveball: 1.6% FF44% · 94 mphprimary pitch FF 44%SL 24%CH 16%SI 14%CU 2% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Rodón, Carlos · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 44% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 94.4 mphFF94 mphSlider: 24% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 86.4 mphSL86 mphChangeup: 16% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 85.5 mphCH86 mphSinker: 14% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 23″ drop, 93.3 mphSI93 mphCurveball: 2% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 55″ drop, 79.9 mphCU80 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 42.6% 152 100 limited sample
SL 28.3% 101 99 limited sample
SI 15.4% 55 93 limited sample
CH 12.3% 44 100 limited sample
CB 1.4% 5 99 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age33
Height6' 2"
Weight255 lb
Debut2015-04-21
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.57
K% Δ+0.022

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.3σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.286
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.297

Rodón’s wOBA-against sits at 0.286, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.297 — a gap of 0.010, -0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 46 IP. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching62026-06-28Four-Seam Fastball played up through FF/CH tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202624.4% K | 3.87 ERAProjection