Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 33 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 209 lb |
| Debut | 2016-04-04 |
Player profile / Boston Red Sox
Trevor Story
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 209 lb · Age 33
Club Boston Red Sox
Position SS
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 106 | 8 | 24 | 2 | 6 | .255 | .340 | .394 | .734 |
| 2025 | 654 | 91 | 161 | 25 | 31 | .263 | .308 | .433 | .741 |
| 2026 | 263 | 24 | 59 | 5 | 5 | .237 | .270 | .353 | .623 |
| 11 Seasons | 4723 | 651 | 1129 | 209 | 165 | .263 | .325 | .483 | .808 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
36
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.304 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.247 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.272 |
| Observed weight | 56% |
xwOBA
0.246
0.258
0.272
0.285
0.298
wOBA
0.287
0.304
0.323
0.341
0.358
ISO
0.111
0.126
0.142
0.158
0.173
K%
26.7%
28.2%
29.7%
31.3%
32.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.6%
30
-30 vs proj
Exit velocity86.6
36
Hard-hit%36.3%
40
-28 vs proj
xBA0.323
55
xSLG0.485
45
xwOBA0.247
8
-38 vs proj
BB%4.3%
9
Bat speed69.1
43
K%31.7%
11
-25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · SS
52
Arm Strength82.9 · SS
13
Outs Above Avg0.0 · SS
47
Range Runs-0.1 · SS
52
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.8 · SS
59
SB Success Rate100.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 51.2% · rebadged research
5
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.6% · rebadged research
20
Correct Decisions57.5% · rebadged research
4
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline84
5
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.278 · borderline
74
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.303 · insufficient sample
9
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
74
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.295 · insufficient sample
96
Resists FastballwOBA 0.321 · validated
81
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.370 · validated
23
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
171 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.053 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.023 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Story’s wOBA sits at 0.323, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.247 — a gap of 0.076, -2.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 281 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-04-15 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 10 | 2026-09-24 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.573 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.299 xwOBA | 19 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, BB, 2 K |
| 2026-04-17 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 @ MIN1 HR | 5 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, 2B, BB |
| 2026-04-14 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-13 @ MIN0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 1 E | 1-3 | K, RBI |