Mithrandir Metrics
Player Philadelphia Phillies Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Philadelphia Phillies

Brooks Raley

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 3", 200 lb · Age 38

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Philadelphia Phillies Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024100.008007.090.71
2025312.45300025.2250.78
2026573.31600151.2511.26
9 Seasons14183.78317513300.03291.17
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
62
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
56
Arsenal5 metrics
34
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason3.86
ERA current pace2.96
ERA rolling p503.43
Observed weight48%
ERA
1.83 2.59 3.43 4.26 5.02
FIP
1.91 2.75 3.68 4.60 5.44
K%
18.5% 20.5% 22.8% 25.0% 27.1%
BB%
6.1% 7.2% 8.5% 9.7% 10.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.28
59
ERA2.96
83
BB%8.8%
50
K%23.0%
57
xwOBA allowed0.306
59
Barrel allowed7.3%
53 -20 vs proj
Fastball velo90.3
4
Hard-hit allowed32.5%
90
Whiff%22.8%
51 +22 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-26
Mithrandir Stuff+101
39
Slider Stuff+105
75
Changeup Stuff+93
10
Cutter Stuff+99
27
Sinker Stuff+97
19
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Raley, Brooks · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.306 2026-09-12: 0.2992026-09-13: 0.2992026-09-14: 0.2992026-09-18: 0.2992026-09-19: 0.2992026-09-20: 0.2992026-09-21: 0.3062026-09-22: 0.3062026-09-23: 0.3062026-09-24: 0.3062026-09-25: 0.3062026-09-26: 0.306 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 36%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Raley, Brooks · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 35%35%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 52%52%Hard hit allowed: 32%32% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Raley, Brooks · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sweeper: 36.4%Cutter: 29.4%Sinker: 21.3%Changeup: 12.9% ST36% · 81 mphprimary pitch ST 36%FC 29%SI 21%CH 13% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Raley, Brooks · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sweeper: 36% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 80.8 mphST81 mphCutter: 29% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 86.7 mphFC87 mphSinker: 21% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 90.3 mphSI90 mphChangeup: 13% usage, 15″ horizontal break, 39″ drop, 84.4 mphCH84 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 42.7% 231 105 qualified
SI 22.6% 122 97 limited sample
FC 22.2% 120 99 limited sample
CH 12.6% 68 93 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age38
Height6' 3"
Weight200 lb
Debut2012-08-07
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.66
K% Δ+0.003

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.7σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.329
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.306

Raley’s wOBA-against sits at 0.329, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.306 — a gap of 0.023, 0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 52 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202622.8% K | 3.62 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 @ LAD1 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-11 vs ATH0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-07 vs AZ0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-03 @ SF0 ER / 1 K0.2 IP
2026-04-01 @ STL0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP