Mithrandir Metrics
Player BAL Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / BAL

Albert Suárez

Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 235 lb · Age 36

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club BAL Position -- Roster profile Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024973.7032240133.21081.29
2025202.3151011.2100.94
2026303.86280163.0461.22
5 Seasons17153.97105372324.02521.27
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
51
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
45
Arsenal5 metrics
45
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason4.10
ERA current pace4.12
ERA rolling p504.11
Observed weight54%
ERA
3.03 3.54 4.11 4.68 5.20
FIP
3.66 3.98 4.33 4.68 5.00
K%
15.2% 16.6% 18.2% 19.8% 21.2%
BB%
6.1% 6.9% 7.7% 8.5% 9.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.25
64
ERA4.12
49
BB%7.9%
64
K%18.2%
23
xwOBA allowed0.311
52 +18 vs proj
Barrel allowed7.8%
45
Fastball velo93.5
34
Hard-hit allowed41.3%
31
Whiff%21.4%
41 +19 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-26
Fastball Stuff+99
27
Mithrandir Stuff+101
35
Changeup Stuff+114
99
Curveball Stuff+102
51
Cutter Stuff+96
11
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Suárez, Albert · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.311 2026-09-12: 0.3212026-09-13: 0.3212026-09-14: 0.3212026-09-18: 0.3202026-09-19: 0.3202026-09-20: 0.3202026-09-21: 0.3202026-09-22: 0.3202026-09-23: 0.3202026-09-24: 0.3202026-09-25: 0.3202026-09-26: 0.311 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 53%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Suárez, Albert · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 12%12%First pitch strike: 47%47%Hard hit allowed: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Suárez, Albert · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 53.5%Cutter: 21.2%Changeup: 15.7%Curveball: 9.3%Slurve: 0.3% FF53% · 94 mphprimary pitch FF 53%FC 21%CH 16%CU 9%SV 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Suárez, Albert · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 53% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 93.5 mphFF94 mphCutter: 21% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 28″ drop, 85.6 mphFC86 mphChangeup: 16% usage, 16″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 84.9 mphCH85 mphCurveball: 9% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 52″ drop, 77.7 mphCU78 mphSlurve: 0% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 81.4 mphSV81 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 53.7% 277 99 qualified
FC 19.4% 100 96 limited sample
CH 17.1% 88 114 limited sample
CB 9.7% 50 102 limited sample
SL 0.2% 1 75 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.41
K% Δ+0.008

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.9σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.336
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.311

Suárez’s wOBA-against sits at 0.336, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.311 — a gap of 0.025, 0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 66 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching22026-03-184-Seam Fastball played up through FF/FC tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202617.4% K | 4.53 ERAProjection