Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Yankees Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Yankees

Gerrit Cole

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 4", 220 lb · Age 36

Cards
22
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Yankees Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
20231542.6333330209.02220.98
2024853.411717095.0991.13
20261093.6122220127.01311.10
13 Seasons163893.2033933902081.023821.09
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
78
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
58
Arsenal6 metrics
80
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason3.83
ERA current pace3.61
ERA rolling p503.68
Observed weight69%
ERA
2.65 3.14 3.68 4.22 4.71
FIP
2.68 3.29 3.97 4.65 5.25
K%
21.7% 22.8% 24.1% 25.4% 26.6%
BB%
3.9% 4.4% 4.9% 5.5% 5.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.12
84
ERA3.61
67
BB%4.7%
97
K%25.3%
73 +35 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.300
68 +21 vs proj
Barrel allowed9.4%
20
Fastball velo96.7
84
Hard-hit allowed44.9%
9
Whiff%19.5%
24
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Fastball Stuff+107
84
Mithrandir Stuff+107
91
Slider Stuff+108
93
Changeup Stuff+101
41
Curveball Stuff+106
96
Sinker Stuff+105
73
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Cole, Gerrit · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.300 2026-09-13: 0.3032026-09-14: 0.3032026-09-18: 0.3032026-09-19: 0.3022026-09-20: 0.3022026-09-21: 0.3022026-09-22: 0.3022026-09-23: 0.3022026-09-24: 0.3002026-09-25: 0.3002026-09-26: 0.3002026-09-27: 0.300 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 49%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Cole, Gerrit · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 52%52%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 19%19%First pitch strike: 57%57%Hard hit allowed: 45%45% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cole, Gerrit · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 49.4%Slider: 19.9%Knuckle Curve: 14.1%Changeup: 12.7%Sinker: 3.6%Cutter: 0.4% FF49% · 97 mphprimary pitch FF 49%SL 20%KC 14%CH 13%SI 4%FC 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cole, Gerrit · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 49% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 96.8 mphFF97 mphSlider: 20% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 89.5 mphSL89 mphKnuckle Curve: 14% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 54″ drop, 83.3 mphKC83 mphChangeup: 13% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 86.0 mphCH86 mphSinker: 4% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 96.0 mphSI96 mphCutter: 0% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 23″ drop, 92.8 mphFC93 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 51.4% 531 107 qualified
SL 20.3% 210 108 qualified
CB 14.6% 151 106 limited sample
CH 10.9% 113 101 limited sample
SI 2.6% 27 105 limited sample
FC 0.1% 1 109 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age36
Height6' 4"
Weight220 lb
Debut2013-06-11
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.39
K% Δ+0.047

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.6σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.315
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.300

Cole’s wOBA-against sits at 0.315, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.300 — a gap of 0.016, 0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 128 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching222026-09-23Four-Seam Fastball played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202620.6% K | 4.00 ERAProjection
2026-03-24 @ CHC1 ER / 3 K1.2 IP
2026-03-18 vs BOS0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP