Mithrandir Metrics
Player Colorado Rockies Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Colorado Rockies

Jose Quintana

P · Bats/Throws R/L · 6' 2", 224 lb · Age 37

Cards
14
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Colorado Rockies Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
202410103.7531310170.11351.25
20251173.9624240131.2891.29
2026235.441111048.0251.50
15 Seasons1151133.7939436802149.118411.28
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
20
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
23
Arsenal6 metrics
21
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason4.60
ERA current pace5.40
ERA rolling p504.99
Observed weight49%
ERA
3.73 4.33 4.99 5.66 6.26
FIP
4.56 4.95 5.39 5.83 6.22
K%
10.8% 12.1% 13.6% 15.0% 16.4%
BB%
6.7% 7.5% 8.4% 9.3% 10.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.54
18
ERA5.40
18
BB%8.7%
52
K%11.7%
1
xwOBA allowed0.357
11
Barrel allowed10.5%
10 -26 vs proj
Fastball velo89.8
3
Hard-hit allowed36.5%
66
Whiff%20.0%
26 +17 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Fastball Stuff+100
31
Mithrandir Stuff+97
16
Changeup Stuff+95
14
Curveball Stuff+101
38
Sinker Stuff+97
18
Slider Stuff+94
9
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Quintana, Jose · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.357 2026-09-13: 0.3432026-09-14: 0.3432026-09-18: 0.3432026-09-19: 0.3432026-09-20: 0.3432026-09-21: 0.3592026-09-22: 0.3592026-09-23: 0.3592026-09-24: 0.3592026-09-25: 0.3592026-09-26: 0.3592026-09-27: 0.357 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 30%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Quintana, Jose · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 43%43%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 13%13%First pitch strike: 45%45%Hard hit allowed: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Quintana, Jose · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 29.6%Sinker: 20.3%Changeup: 19.7%Curveball: 15.3%Slurve: 15.1% FF30% · 90 mphprimary pitch FF 30%SI 20%CH 20%CU 15%SV 15% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Quintana, Jose · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 30% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 89.8 mphFF90 mphSinker: 20% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 89.8 mphSI90 mphChangeup: 20% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 85.0 mphCH85 mphCurveball: 15% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 49″ drop, 78.9 mphCU79 mphSlurve: 15% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 42″ drop, 80.0 mphSV80 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 29.7% 204 100 qualified
CH 21.0% 144 95 limited sample
SI 19.4% 133 97 limited sample
CB 15.7% 108 101 limited sample
SL 14.3% 98 94 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age37
Height6' 2"
Weight224 lb
Debut2012-05-07
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.36
K% Δ-0.038

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

2.1σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.424
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.357

Quintana’s wOBA-against sits at 0.424, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.357 — a gap of 0.067, 2.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 51 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching142026-09-26Slurve played up through SV/CH tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202615.5% K | 5.04 ERAProjection
2026-04-20 vs LAD4 ER / 1 K5.0 IP
2026-04-15 @ HOU3 ER / 1 K3.2 IP
2026-03-29 @ MIA2 ER / 2 K4.1 IP