Mithrandir Metrics
Player COL Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / COL

Jose Quintana

Player · Bats/Throws R/L · 6' 2", 224 lb · Age 37

Cards
12
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club COL Position -- Roster Injured 60-Day Status IL-60
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
202410103.7531310170.11351.25
20251173.9624240131.2891.29
2026235.2799041.0201.51
15 Seasons1151133.7939236602142.118361.28
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
22
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
27
Arsenal6 metrics
21
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
ERA preseason4.60
ERA current pace5.27
ERA rolling p504.91
Observed weight45%
ERA
3.64 4.24 4.91 5.57 6.17
FIP
4.19 4.59 5.03 5.46 5.86
K%
10.5% 11.9% 13.4% 14.9% 16.3%
BB%
6.5% 7.4% 8.3% 9.2% 10.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.56
13
ERA5.27
19
BB%8.5%
53
K%11.0%
0
xwOBA allowed0.343
22 +19 vs proj
Barrel allowed9.5%
25
Fastball velo89.9
3
Hard-hit allowed34.8%
77
Whiff%20.2%
27 +19 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-16
Fastball Stuff+100
31
Mithrandir Stuff+97
17
Changeup Stuff+95
14
Curveball Stuff+101
36
Sinker Stuff+98
21
Slider Stuff+94
9
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Quintana, Jose · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.343 2026-07-05: 0.3432026-07-06: 0.3432026-07-07: 0.3432026-07-08: 0.3432026-07-09: 0.3432026-07-10: 0.3432026-07-11: 0.3432026-07-12: 0.3432026-07-13: 0.3432026-07-14: 0.3432026-07-15: 0.3432026-07-16: 0.343 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 31%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Quintana, Jose · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 42%42%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 13%13%First pitch strike: 43%43%Hard hit allowed: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Quintana, Jose · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 31.0%Changeup: 20.3%Sinker: 19.5%Curveball: 15.6%Slurve: 13.6% FF31% · 90 mphprimary pitch FF 31%CH 20%SI 19%CU 16%SV 14% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Quintana, Jose · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 31% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 89.8 mphFF90 mphChangeup: 20% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 85.1 mphCH85 mphSinker: 19% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 89.9 mphSI90 mphCurveball: 16% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 49″ drop, 79.0 mphCU79 mphSlurve: 14% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 42″ drop, 80.3 mphSV80 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 29.7% 204 100 qualified
CH 21.0% 144 95 limited sample
SI 19.4% 133 98 limited sample
CB 15.7% 108 101 limited sample
SL 14.3% 98 94 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.23
K% Δ-0.045

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

2.5σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.425
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.343

Quintana’s wOBA-against sits at 0.425, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.343 — a gap of 0.082, 2.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 44 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching122026-05-24Sinker played up through CH/FF tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202615.5% K | 5.04 ERAProjection
2026-04-20 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 1 E0 H in 0 AB
2026-04-15 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0 H in 0 AB
2026-03-29 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0 H in 0 AB