Mithrandir Metrics
CWS 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Chase Meidroth

CWS · Hitter · bats R · age 25
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupCWS vs TORShane Bieber
Sample800.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 6.9
F 11.5
V 9.4
Model 8.5% Market 7.7% Gap +0.5pp
DraftKings 1150 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 38.2
F 57.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V 61.0 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 38.2% Market 68.8% Gap +8.9pp
FanDuel 185 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 20.9
F 18.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 20.9% Market -- Gap +2.9pp
FanDuel 320 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.9%
21
Exit velocity86.6
30
Hard-hit%36.2%
36
xBA0.320
49
xSLG0.447
27
xwOBA0.288
29 -17 vs proj
BB%9.4%
60
Bat speed64.4
5
K%23.4%
43 -44 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · 2B
34
Arm Strength81.6 · 2B
13
Outs Above Avg3.0 · 2B
85
Range Runs2.1 · 2B
73
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.8 · 2B
65
Sprint Speed27.2 · 2B
44
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.4%
81
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.6%
14
Correct Decisions65.2%
40
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
56
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.290 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.293
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.344
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.265 to 0.353
RegressionNegative · -0.077
Opposing pitcherShane Bieber
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)