Mithrandir Metrics
TB 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Chandler Simpson

TB · Hitter · bats L · age 26
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupTB vs LADEric Lauer
Sample662.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 70.1
F 67.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V 71.3 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 70.1% Market 67.9% Gap +2.2pp
FanDuel -240 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%0.0%
1
Exit velocity81.6
5
Hard-hit%15.0%
1
xBA0.274
12
xSLG0.316
2
xwOBA0.252
7 -47 vs proj
BB%5.0%
12
Bat speed61.8
1
K%10.7%
97
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.5 · LF
14
Arm Strength96.1 · LF
80
Outs Above Avg6.0 · LF
98
Range Runs5.3 · LF
94
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.5 · LF
98
Bolts54.0 · LF
99
SB Success Rate75.0% · LF
32
Sprint Speed29.6 · LF
96
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.3%
49
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.4%
15
Correct Decisions64.4%
32
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
30
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.306 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.264
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.320
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.284 to 0.339
RegressionNegative · -0.075
Opposing pitcherEric Lauer
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)