Mithrandir Metrics
ATH 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Nick Kurtz

ATH · Hitter · bats L · age 23
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupATH vs COLKyle Freeland
Sample665.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 18.5
F 13.4
V 13.4
Model 18.8% Market 25.4% Gap +3.9pp
DraftKings 280 tracking Open board
Total Bases --
Total Bases · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.3%
92
Exit velocity94.5
98
Hard-hit%59.4%
100
xBA0.406
97
xSLG0.814
98
xwOBA0.397
98 +15 vs proj
BB%20.1%
100 +19 vs proj
Bat speed76.1
99
K%29.1%
16
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 1B
11
Range Runs-1.8 · 1B
24
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.6 · 1B
25
SB Success Rate83.3% · 1B
64
Sprint Speed26.7 · 1B
32
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 76.3%
96
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.7%
74
Correct Decisions72.2%
94
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline113
95
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.330 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.299 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.289
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.372
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.373
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.316 to 0.401
RegressionNegative · -0.049
Opposing pitcherKyle Freeland
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)