Mithrandir Metrics
CLE 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Kyle Manzardo

CLE · Hitter · bats L · age 26
IN · 4 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupCLE vs DETJack Flaherty
Sample798.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 23 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 18.4
F 15.5
V 15.5
Model 17.5% Market 17.1% Gap -0.2pp
DraftKings 465 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 56.2
F 66.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 69.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 56.2% Market 65.6% Gap +2.2pp
FanDuel 145 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 15.2
F 13.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 15.2% Market -- Gap +7.3pp
FanDuel 360 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.9%
74
Exit velocity89.0
56
Hard-hit%40.9%
56
xBA0.370
86
xSLG0.643
84
xwOBA0.321
61
BB%10.0%
66 +25 vs proj
Bat speed68.2
30
K%33.3%
4 -34 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 1B
45
Range Runs-0.4 · 1B
41
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.3 · 1B
11
Sprint Speed25.7 · 1B
14
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.5%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.8%
Small sample
Correct Decisions66.3%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.309 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.251
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.296 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.335
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.285 to 0.354
RegressionNegative · -0.050
Opposing pitcherJack Flaherty
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)