Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Edgar Quero

CWS · Hitter · bats L · age 23

OUT · 6 Negative regression Neutral

MatchupCWS vs TORShane Bieber

Sample--career MLB AB

PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only

Tonight's props · all markets for this player

Home Run 0.5

P 10.0

F 13.2

V 8.3

Model 11.1% Market 7.7% Gap +3.1pp

DraftKings 1150 tracking Open board

Total Bases 0.5

P 61.0

F 58.6 EXPERIMENTAL

V 62.2 EXPERIMENTAL

FULL

Model 69.1% Market 70.2% Gap +9.2pp

BetMGM -235 tracking Open board

Hits --

Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --

RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%1.6%

9 -23 vs proj

Exit velocity90.2

Hard-hit%36.7%

40 -36 vs proj

xBA0.287

xSLG0.408

xwOBA0.260

11 -36 vs proj

BB%7.9%

Bat speed67.2

K%23.0%

45 -34 vs proj

Defense · percentile strip

Blocking Runs-1.5 · C

Catcher Throwing0.4 · C

Framing Runs-4.1 · C

Pop Time1.9 · C

Baserunning · percentile strip

Sprint Speed24.1 · C

SB Success Rate100.0% · C

Small sample

Mithrandir+ · percentile strip

Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.6%

Small sample

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.1%

Small sample

Correct Decisions66.6%

Small sample

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.278 · small sample

small sample

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.257

Small sample

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists FastballwOBA 0.300

Small sample

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.341

Small sample

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101

Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup

Projected range0.264 to 0.353

RegressionNegative · -0.008

Opposing pitcherShane Bieber

EnvironmentNeutral

Lane calibration receipts

Lane Health 2026-07-18

Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling

Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable

Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling

Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building

Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)