Mithrandir Metrics
COL 2026-06-01 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-01

Hunter Goodman

COL · Hitter · bats R · age 27
IN · 2 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupCOL vs LAAJosé Soriano
Sample1026.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 16.4
F 15.7
V 15.7
Model 14.3% Market 18.0% Gap -3.7pp
BetMGM 455 tracking Open board
Total Bases --
Total Bases · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%6.9%
28
Barrel%8.1%
83
Bat speed73.7
93
Exit velocity91.1
85
Hard-hit%47.6%
83
K%32.7%
5 -34 vs proj
xBA0.348
72
xSLG0.653
85
xwOBA0.298
39 -21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.4 · C
66
Catcher Throwing-0.4 · C
22
Framing Runs0.2 · C
50
Pop Time2.0 · C
40
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.1 · C
1
Sprint Speed27.4 · C
53
SB Success Rate33.3% · C
Limited
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 53.1% · rebadged research
7
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.5% · rebadged research
27
Correct Decisions59.7% · rebadged research
8
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline89
8
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.308 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.285 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.340 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.319 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.396 · validated
validated

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.273 to 0.354
RegressionNegative · -0.106
Opposing pitcherJosé Soriano
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-01
Palantir 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d error falling
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)