Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Daylen Lile

WSH · Hitter · bats L · age 24
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupWSH vs ATHJ.t. Ginn
Sample697.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 18.8
F 13.2
V 11.1
Model 19.5% Market 11.1% Gap +8.0pp
DraftKings 770 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 66.5
F 67.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 66.1 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 76.6% Market 77.5% Gap +11.1pp
BetMGM -345 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
59
Exit velocity88.0
48
Hard-hit%35.6%
33 -18 vs proj
xBA0.317
45
xSLG0.513
51
xwOBA0.316
59 -17 vs proj
BB%5.9%
20
Bat speed69.3
44
K%17.4%
77
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.5 · LF
91
Arm Strength87.7 · LF
12
Outs Above Avg2.0 · LF
90
Range Runs2.2 · LF
76
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.0 · LF
42
Bolts21.0 · LF
80
SB Success Rate60.0% · LF
11
Sprint Speed29.2 · LF
93
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.1%
21
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.8%
72
Correct Decisions65.8%
45
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
31
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.280 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.405
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.292 to 0.367
RegressionNegative · -0.015
Opposing pitcherJ.t. Ginn
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)