Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-06-01 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-01

James Wood

WSH · Hitter · bats L · age 24
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupWSH vs MIASandy Alcantara
Sample1121.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 21.3
F 19.6
V 19.6
Model 19.1% Market 16.4% Gap +2.1pp
FanDuel 485 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 63.3
F 74.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V 74.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 63.3% Market 73.6% Gap +2.5pp
FanDuel -110 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 2.0
F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 2.0% Market -- Gap +6.2pp
FanDuel 6500 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%16.6%
97 +20 vs proj
Barrel%13.0%
99 +16 vs proj
Bat speed73.9
94
Exit velocity96.5
100
Hard-hit%60.0%
100
K%29.5%
15
xBA0.444
100
xSLG0.998
100
xwOBA0.443
100
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.6 · RF
75
Arm Strength95.7 · RF
76
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · RF
8
Range Runs-4.1 · RF
2
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.0 · RF
78
Bolts3.0 · RF
43
SB Success Rate87.5% · RF
74
Sprint Speed27.6 · RF
58
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 76.0% · rebadged research
93
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.1% · rebadged research
39
Correct Decisions69.3% · rebadged research
80
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
88
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.332 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.255 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.317 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.408 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.390 · validated
validated

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.317 to 0.426
RegressionNegative · -0.002
Opposing pitcherSandy Alcantara
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-01
Palantir 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d error falling
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)