Mithrandir Metrics
TB 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Junior Caminero

TB · Hitter · bats R · age 23
IN · 4 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupTB vs LADEric Lauer
Sample1059.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 19.8
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 18.5% Market 22.7% Gap -4.2pp
BetMGM 340 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 42.8
F 44.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V 42.8 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 42.8% Market 41.7% Gap +2.5pp
FanDuel 130 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.0%
91
Exit velocity93.0
94
Hard-hit%50.5%
91
xBA0.335
61
xSLG0.583
70
xwOBA0.363
87
BB%13.5%
90 +59 vs proj
Bat speed78.4
100
K%16.7%
80
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength90.2 · 3B
80
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 3B
26
Range Runs-9.3 · 3B
1
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.8 · 3B
19
Sprint Speed26.0 · 3B
19
SB Success Rate0.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.9%
67
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.3%
87
Correct Decisions66.5%
53
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
84
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.264 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.367 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.404
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.401
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.331 to 0.396
RegressionNegative · -0.029
Opposing pitcherEric Lauer
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)