Mithrandir Metrics
COL 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Jordan Beck

COL · Hitter · bats R · age 25
IL10 · 7 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupCOL vs CHCShota Imanaga
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 19.6
F 11.1
V 11.1
Model 17.7% Market 10.0% Gap +7.4pp
DraftKings 870 tracking Open board
Total Bases 2.5
P 23.6
F 23.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V 22.8 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 23.6% Market 25.6% Gap +2.0pp
DraftKings 305 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.7%
18 -36 vs proj
Exit velocity85.6
22
Hard-hit%29.7%
13 -38 vs proj
xBA0.308
32
xSLG0.438
26
xwOBA0.260
11 -27 vs proj
BB%5.4%
14 -20 vs proj
Bat speed71.4
75
K%26.8%
26
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength91.3 · LF
36
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
44
Arm Runs-1.6 · LF
Small sample
Range Runs-0.1 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.2 · LF
75
SB Success Rate50.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.0%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.6%
Small sample
Correct Decisions64.3%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.314
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.263 to 0.349
RegressionNegative · -0.073
Opposing pitcherShota Imanaga
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)