Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Victor Scott II

STL · Hitter · bats L · age 25

OUT · 1 Negative regression Neutral

MatchupSTL vs AZBrandon Pfaadt

Sample--career MLB AB

PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only

Tonight's props · all markets for this player

Home Run 0.5

P 7.7

F 11.7

V 11.2

Model 9.9% Market 7.7% Gap +1.9pp

DraftKings 1150 tracking Open board

Total Bases 0.5

P 57.2

F 57.2 EXPERIMENTAL

V 56.4 EXPERIMENTAL

FULL

Model 64.2% Market 64.9% Gap +7.7pp

BetMGM -185 tracking Open board

Hits --

Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --

RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%0.5%

3 -20 vs proj

Exit velocity79.0

Hard-hit%25.4%

xBA0.310

xSLG0.412

xwOBA0.273

BB%8.5%

Bat speed62.2

K%23.5%

Defense · percentile strip

Arm Runs-0.6 · CF

Arm Strength91.3 · CF

Outs Above Avg3.0 · CF

Range Runs2.7 · CF

Baserunning · percentile strip

Base Running Runs1.2 · CF

Bolts29.0 · CF

SB Success Rate72.7% · CF

Sprint Speed29.7 · CF

Mithrandir+ · percentile strip

Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.3%

Small sample

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.5%

Small sample

Correct Decisions69.2%

Small sample

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.268 · small sample

small sample

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.261

Small sample

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists FastballwOBA 0.326

Small sample

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360

Small sample

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105

Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup

Projected range0.255 to 0.333

RegressionNegative · -0.034

Opposing pitcherBrandon Pfaadt

EnvironmentNeutral

Lane calibration receipts

Lane Health 2026-07-18

Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling

Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable

Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling

Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building

Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)