Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Zach Neto

LAA · Hitter · bats R · age 25

IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral

MatchupLAA vs AZRyne Nelson

Sample1606.0career MLB AB

PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only

Tonight's props · all markets for this player

Home Run 0.5

P 19.8

F 17.9

V 17.9

Model 18.4% Market 16.3% Gap +1.5pp

FanDuel 490 tracking Open board

Total Bases 0.5

P 72.4

F 71.8 EXPERIMENTAL

V 71.2 EXPERIMENTAL

FULL

Model 72.4% Market 70.0% Gap +2.4pp

FanDuel -270 tracking Open board

Hits --

Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --

RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%6.4%

Exit velocity89.3

Hard-hit%38.1%

43 -24 vs proj

xBA0.321

xSLG0.627

xwOBA0.315

BB%11.2%

75 +46 vs proj

Bat speed68.1

K%31.9%

6 -28 vs proj

Defense · percentile strip

Arm Runs0.9 · SS

Arm Strength94.4 · SS

Outs Above Avg-10.0 · SS

Range Runs-7.7 · SS

Baserunning · percentile strip

Base Running Runs-1.5 · SS

SB Success Rate66.7% · SS

Sprint Speed27.6 · SS

Mithrandir+ · percentile strip

Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.7%

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.5%

Correct Decisions67.4%

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.287 · small sample

small sample

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.258 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.268

Small sample

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.353 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists FastballwOBA 0.354

Small sample

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.390

Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup

Projected range0.316 to 0.374

RegressionNegative · -0.042

Opposing pitcherRyne Nelson

EnvironmentNeutral

Lane calibration receipts

Lane Health 2026-06-15

Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable

Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable

Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building

Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building

Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)