Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Dylan Crews

WSH · Hitter · bats R · age 24
IN · 7 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupWSH vs ATHJ.T. Ginn
Sample592.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 52.6
F 55.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V 53.4 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 58.4% Market 59.2% Gap +6.6pp
BetMGM -145 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
57
Exit velocity90.1
75
Hard-hit%42.2%
64
xBA0.325
55
xSLG0.560
67
xwOBA0.318
63
BB%5.6%
18 -23 vs proj
Bat speed71.2
73
K%23.2%
44
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.4 · RF
39
Arm Strength91.6 · RF
36
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
46
Range Runs2.4 · RF
80
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.4 · RF
79
Bolts4.0 · RF
50
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
93
Sprint Speed29.3 · RF
94
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.7%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.3%
Small sample
Correct Decisions65.8%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.345 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.317
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.333
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.285 to 0.377
RegressionPositive · 0.029
Opposing pitcherJ.T. Ginn
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-19
Palantir 9780 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.011 14d error falling
Fangorn 9780 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 4185 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)