Mithrandir Metrics
KC 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Vinnie Pasquantino

KC · Hitter · bats L · age 29
IN · 3 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupKC vs SDGriffin Canning
Sample1871.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 19.9
F 16.9
V 19.3
Model 22.2% Market 16.7% Gap +4.8pp
FanDuel 475 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 64.6
F 65.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V 69.0 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 64.6% Market 79.0% Gap +11.5pp
FanDuel 125 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 23.4
F 21.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 23.4% Market -- Gap +2.9pp
FanDuel 280 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
52 -20 vs proj
Exit velocity88.7
56
Hard-hit%38.9%
50 -25 vs proj
xBA0.306
31
xSLG0.487
41
xwOBA0.313
57 -16 vs proj
BB%10.6%
73 +30 vs proj
Bat speed68.3
32
K%17.0%
80
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 1B
28
Range Runs-0.5 · 1B
41
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.4 · 1B
30
Sprint Speed25.7 · 1B
13
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.2%
54
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.4%
67
Correct Decisions66.4%
53
Resists FastballwOBA 0.328
72
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
61
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.246 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.293 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.344 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.339
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.318 to 0.376
RegressionPositive · 0.002
Opposing pitcherGriffin Canning
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)