Mithrandir Metrics
NYM 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Brett Baty

NYM · Hitter · bats L · age 27
IN · 7 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupNYM vs ATLSpencer Strider
Sample1143.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 47.6
F 69.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V 67.8 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 47.6% Market 65.1% Gap +2.0pp
FanDuel 185 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 12.3
F 14.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 12.3% Market -- Gap +8.4pp
FanDuel 400 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
59
Exit velocity89.4
63
Hard-hit%39.2%
48 -19 vs proj
xBA0.341
67
xSLG0.540
57
xwOBA0.297
38
BB%8.7%
49
Bat speed72.6
85
K%27.3%
24 -18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 3B
63
Arm Strength88.4 · 3B
70
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 3B
11
Range Runs-2.5 · 3B
17
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.6 · 3B
61
Sprint Speed26.8 · 3B
36
SB Success Rate66.7% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.2%
74
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.7%
74
Correct Decisions69.8%
82
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
80
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.277 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.294 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.309 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.363
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.291 to 0.345
RegressionNegative · -0.020
Opposing pitcherSpencer Strider
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)