Mithrandir Metrics
AZ 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Corbin Carroll

AZ · Hitter · bats L · age 26
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupAZ vs STLDustin May
Sample2171.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 17.5
F 14.4
V 12.6
Model 20.0% Market 17.5% Gap +1.8pp
FanDuel 450 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 72.9
F 69.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V 68.6 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 72.9% Market 81.7% Gap +12.2pp
FanDuel -110 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 28.7
F 28.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 28.7% Market -- Gap +2.6pp
FanDuel 220 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.3%
80
Exit velocity91.5
89
Hard-hit%47.9%
85
xBA0.341
69
xSLG0.599
76
xwOBA0.343
81
BB%11.9%
84
Bat speed74.3
96
K%23.5%
43 -19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-3.2 · RF
1
Arm Strength86.9 · RF
8
Outs Above Avg8.0 · RF
99
Range Runs7.6 · RF
97
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs4.0 · RF
97
Bolts40.0 · RF
94
SB Success Rate81.8% · RF
50
Sprint Speed29.7 · RF
98
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.0%
58
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.5%
57
Correct Decisions66.3%
51
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
59
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.325 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.305 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.311 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.401
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.399
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.300 to 0.394
RegressionNegative · -0.036
Opposing pitcherDustin May
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)