Mithrandir Metrics
AZ 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 12 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Corbin Carroll

AZ · Hitter · bats L · age 26
IN · 2 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupAZ vs CINNick Lodolo
Sample2061.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 20.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 19.3% Market 16.0% Gap +2.6pp
FanDuel 500 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 69.4
F 77.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V 76.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 69.4% Market 74.7% Gap +2.6pp
FanDuel -120 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 23.6
F 23.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 23.6% Market -- Gap +12.8pp
FanDuel 175 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.0%
90
Exit velocity92.3
93
Hard-hit%52.2%
94 +17 vs proj
xBA0.359
81
xSLG0.651
85
xwOBA0.368
88
BB%12.2%
83
Bat speed74.0
94
K%22.6%
45
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.9 · RF
1
Arm Strength86.5 · RF
9
Outs Above Avg4.0 · RF
96
Range Runs4.5 · RF
91
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.5 · RF
98
Bolts24.0 · RF
90
SB Success Rate85.7% · RF
69
Sprint Speed29.7 · RF
98
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.8%
62
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.5%
68
Correct Decisions66.9%
57
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
69
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.334 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.303 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.314 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.403
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.400
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.300 to 0.394
RegressionNegative · -0.050
Opposing pitcherNick Lodolo
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-12
Palantir 5214 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 5214 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)