Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Cj Abrams

WSH · Hitter · bats L · age 26
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupWSH vs ATHJ.t. Ginn
Sample2318.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 19.4
F 16.9
V 13.1
Model 22.8% Market 13.9% Gap +8.3pp
FanDuel 590 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 67.5
F 68.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V 67.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 78.0% Market 79.0% Gap +11.5pp
BetMGM -375 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
68
Exit velocity89.9
72
Hard-hit%42.1%
64
xBA0.339
67
xSLG0.587
73
xwOBA0.340
79
BB%8.4%
48 +25 vs proj
Bat speed70.7
67
K%21.2%
58
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength87.0 · SS
53
Outs Above Avg-11.0 · SS
1
Range Runs-8.4 · SS
2
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.3 · SS
78
Bolts8.0 · SS
64
SB Success Rate78.6% · SS
41
Sprint Speed28.4 · SS
79
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.0%
32
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.5%
46
Correct Decisions64.5%
32
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
32
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.318 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.305 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.394 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.409
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.304 to 0.369
RegressionNegative · -0.057
Opposing pitcherJ.t. Ginn
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)