Mithrandir Metrics
MIA 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Connor Norby

MIA · Hitter · bats R · age 26
IN · 7 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupMIA vs PHIZack Wheeler
Sample673.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 59.2
F 57.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V 60.8 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 59.2% Market 57.5% Gap +1.8pp
FanDuel -150 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
60
Exit velocity87.2
36
Hard-hit%36.7%
36
xBA0.281
16
xSLG0.510
50
xwOBA0.292
34
BB%10.7%
72 +51 vs proj
Bat speed68.6
37
K%28.6%
18
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength82.6 · 1B
22
Outs Above Avg3.0 · 1B
86
Range Runs2.8 · 1B
81
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · 1B
51
SB Success Rate75.0% · 1B
32
Sprint Speed28.1 · 1B
72
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.0%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.0%
Small sample
Correct Decisions71.0%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.302 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.257
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.313 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.338
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.367
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.257 to 0.360
RegressionNegative · -0.042
Opposing pitcherZack Wheeler
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)