Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Logan O'Hoppe

LAA · Hitter · bats R · age 26

IN · 5 Negative regression Neutral

MatchupLAA vs DETTarik Skubal

Sample1313.0career MLB AB

PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only

Tonight's props · all markets for this player

Home Run 0.5

P 12.4

F 13.8

V 13.1

Model 15.7% Market 16.1% Gap -0.9pp

DraftKings 500 tracking Open board

Total Bases 0.5

P 57.3

F 57.3 EXPERIMENTAL

V 56.5 EXPERIMENTAL

FULL

Model 64.2% Market 65.5% Gap +8.3pp

BetMGM -190 tracking Open board

Hits --

Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --

RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%6.8%

Exit velocity86.8

Hard-hit%37.6%

45 -34 vs proj

xBA0.281

xSLG0.477

xwOBA0.276

20 -33 vs proj

BB%7.6%

38 +15 vs proj

Bat speed69.2

K%24.5%

Defense · percentile strip

Blocking Runs-2.3 · C

Catcher Throwing-0.9 · C

Framing Runs-8.4 · C

Pop Time2.0 · C

Baserunning · percentile strip

Sprint Speed27.2 · C

Mithrandir+ · percentile strip

Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.9%

Small sample

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.9%

Small sample

Correct Decisions62.2%

Small sample

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.258 · small sample

small sample

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.268

Small sample

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.318 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists FastballwOBA 0.325

Small sample

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.347

Small sample

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96

Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup

Projected range0.292 to 0.361

RegressionNegative · -0.003

Opposing pitcherTarik Skubal

EnvironmentNeutral

Lane calibration receipts

Lane Health 2026-07-18

Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling

Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable

Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling

Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building

Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)