Mithrandir Metrics
BAL 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Colton Cowser

BAL · Hitter · bats L · age 26
IN · 7 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupBAL vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti
Sample1092.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 50.0
F 56.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 55.3 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 50.0% Market 63.6% Gap +7.6pp
FanDuel 185 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 10.6
F 10.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 10.6% Market -- Gap +7.3pp
FanDuel 500 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.4%
71
Exit velocity85.5
22
Hard-hit%37.1%
42 -35 vs proj
xBA0.327
57
xSLG0.653
87
xwOBA0.316
60
BB%11.6%
81 +21 vs proj
Bat speed71.1
72
K%31.3%
11
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.5 · CF
65
Arm Strength97.2 · CF
81
Outs Above Avg1.0 · CF
80
Range Runs5.0 · CF
91
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.4 · CF
54
SB Success Rate66.7% · CF
20
Sprint Speed28.0 · CF
68
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.1%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.1%
Small sample
Correct Decisions65.9%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.279 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.264 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.399
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.268 to 0.379
RegressionNegative · -0.003
Opposing pitcherSpencer Arrighetti
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-19
Palantir 9780 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.011 14d error falling
Fangorn 9780 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 4185 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)