Mithrandir Metrics
BAL 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Colton Cowser

BAL · Hitter · bats L · age 26
IN · 7 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupBAL vs SDGriffin Canning
Sample1028.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 49.5
F 62.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V 61.9 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 49.5% Market 60.7% Gap +2.0pp
FanDuel 195 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 11.7
F 11.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 11.7% Market -- Gap +5.2pp
FanDuel 500 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.4%
79
Exit velocity84.9
15
Hard-hit%32.0%
20 -52 vs proj
xBA0.314
40
xSLG0.645
84
xwOBA0.321
60
BB%11.9%
82 +23 vs proj
Bat speed71.4
75
K%29.0%
17
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.8 · RF
81
Arm Strength97.2 · RF
85
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
44
Range Runs2.7 · RF
81
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.1 · RF
72
SB Success Rate50.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.8%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.9%
Small sample
Correct Decisions67.0%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.398
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.268 to 0.379
RegressionNegative · -0.024
Opposing pitcherGriffin Canning
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)