Mithrandir Metrics
CLE 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Steven Kwan

CLE · Hitter · bats L · age 29
IN · 7 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupCLE vs DETJack Flaherty
Sample2527.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 12.0
F 13.4
V 13.4
Model 12.4% Market 8.7% Gap +3.4pp
DraftKings 1010 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 47.9
F 74.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 73.3 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 47.9% Market 71.8% Gap +2.4pp
FanDuel 190 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 25.4
F 25.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 25.4% Market -- Gap +3.9pp
FanDuel 350 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%0.3%
2
Exit velocity81.4
4
Hard-hit%9.1%
0
xBA0.274
12
xSLG0.342
4
xwOBA0.300
41 -21 vs proj
BB%14.7%
95 +52 vs proj
Bat speed60.4
0
K%10.5%
98
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.6 · CF
31
Arm Strength92.4 · CF
52
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
44
Range Runs4.6 · CF
92
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.2 · CF
34
Sprint Speed26.7 · CF
32
SB Success Rate50.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 77.6%
97
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.3%
16
Correct Decisions67.7%
65
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
83
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.271 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.242
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.317 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.371
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.296 to 0.363
RegressionNegative · -0.017
Opposing pitcherJack Flaherty
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)