Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

José Tena

WSH · Hitter · bats L · age 25
IN · 6 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupWSH vs KCMitch Spence
Sample472.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 23 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.6
F 17.2
V 17.2
Model 11.4% Market 7.7% Gap +3.4pp
DraftKings 1150 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 24.5
F 23.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V 23.3 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 24.5% Market 26.3% Gap +2.1pp
DraftKings 290 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.2%
51
Exit velocity91.7
89
Hard-hit%49.5%
89 +28 vs proj
xBA0.360
81
xSLG0.569
66
xwOBA0.292
33 -23 vs proj
BB%5.9%
18
Bat speed71.8
78
K%30.1%
13 -45 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · 2B
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
60 Regression applied
Range Runs-1.4 · 2B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.7 · DH
61
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.9%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.7%
Small sample
Correct Decisions64.2%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.265 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.265
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.345 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.374
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.255 to 0.355
RegressionNegative · -0.014
Opposing pitcherMitch Spence
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)