Mithrandir Metrics
TEX 2026-09-26 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-26

Josh Jung

TEX · Hitter · bats R · age 28
IL10 · 7 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupTEX vs MINBailey Ober
Sample1634.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.055, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.082, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 1.5
P 50.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 52.1% Market 51.1% Gap +0.5pp
FanDuel -115 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.3%
57 -17 vs proj
Exit velocity90.9
87
Hard-hit%49.8%
93
xBA0.356
87
xSLG0.551
66
xwOBA0.348
91 +33 vs proj
BB%7.7%
40 +24 vs proj
Bat speed69.0
41
K%17.5%
81 +31 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength86.6 · 3B
46
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 3B
14
Range Runs-2.1 · 3B
32
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.7 · 3B
18
Sprint Speed25.7 · 3B
12
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.5%
51
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.0%
41
Correct Decisions65.8%
47
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.273 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.304 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.303
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.355 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.375
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.325
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.270 to 0.350
RegressionNegative · -0.031
Opposing pitcherBailey Ober
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-26
Palantir 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Valinor 16023 props Brier 0.114 ECE 0.001 14d stable
Palantir 1947 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1443 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Palantir 10429 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.039 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 850 props Brier 0.166 ECE 0.036 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 1088 props Brier 0.255 ECE 0.053 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)