Mithrandir Metrics
AZ 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Geraldo Perdomo

AZ · Hitter · bats L · age 27
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupAZ vs STLDustin May
Sample2128.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 15.4
F 14.2
V 9.6
Model 14.4% Market 9.3% Gap +4.7pp
DraftKings 935 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 62.6
F 70.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V 69.2 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 62.6% Market 81.3% Gap +12.1pp
FanDuel 140 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 26.4
F 27.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 26.4% Market -- Gap +1.3pp
FanDuel 260 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.2%
15
Exit velocity85.7
23
Hard-hit%30.5%
16
xBA0.294
23
xSLG0.397
12
xwOBA0.326
69
BB%14.4%
95
Bat speed63.4
3
K%11.9%
96
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · SS
48
Arm Strength89.2 · SS
71
Outs Above Avg9.0 · SS
98
Range Runs6.6 · SS
97
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.7 · SS
23
SB Success Rate68.4% · SS
23
Sprint Speed26.9 · SS
37
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.5%
86
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.7%
19
Correct Decisions66.5%
53
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
68
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.265
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.297 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.372
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.303 to 0.369
RegressionNegative · -0.025
Opposing pitcherDustin May
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)