Mithrandir Metrics
AZ 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 12 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Geraldo Perdomo

AZ · Hitter · bats L · age 27
IN · 6 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupAZ vs CINNick Lodolo
Sample2027.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 19.2
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 15.2% Market 8.9% Gap +6.0pp
DraftKings 990 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 60.3
F 79.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V 78.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 60.3% Market 75.9% Gap +2.5pp
FanDuel 155 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 23.0
F 24.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 23.0% Market -- Gap +4.0pp
FanDuel 270 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.1%
15
Exit velocity85.6
21
Hard-hit%32.5%
22
xBA0.314
40
xSLG0.409
16
xwOBA0.334
70
BB%13.9%
92
Bat speed62.6
3
K%11.8%
95
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · SS
46
Arm Strength89.2 · SS
76
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
70
Range Runs0.7 · SS
59
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.1 · SS
78
SB Success Rate88.9% · SS
80
Sprint Speed26.7 · SS
32
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.8%
83
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.0%
18
Correct Decisions66.0%
48
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
60
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.262
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.301 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.381
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.342
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.303 to 0.369
RegressionNegative · -0.013
Opposing pitcherNick Lodolo
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-12
Palantir 5214 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 5214 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)