Mithrandir Metrics
AZ 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Gabriel Moreno

AZ · Hitter · bats R · age 26
IN · 4 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupAZ vs STLDustin May
Sample1232.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 47.0
F 62.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V 60.8 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 47.0% Market 69.7% Gap +8.9pp
FanDuel 120 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 15.4
F 16.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 15.4% Market -- Gap +18.0pp
FanDuel 200 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
57
Exit velocity89.5
67
Hard-hit%43.3%
67
xBA0.350
78
xSLG0.536
59
xwOBA0.365
91 +18 vs proj
BB%12.2%
86 +26 vs proj
Bat speed70.0
54
K%15.6%
85 +16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs1.1 · C
92
Catcher Throwing1.3 · C
80
Framing Runs2.7 · C
80
Pop Time1.9 · C
78
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.2 · C
37
Sprint Speed26.1 · C
20
SB Success Rate75.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.9%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.2%
Small sample
Correct Decisions61.4%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.287 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.322 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.387
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.308 to 0.368
RegressionNegative · -0.037
Opposing pitcherDustin May
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-19
Palantir 9780 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.011 14d error falling
Fangorn 9780 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 4185 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)