Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Luis García Jr.

WSH · Hitter · bats L · age 26
IN · 4 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupWSH vs KCMitch Spence
Sample2385.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 23 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 19.2
F 17.2
V 17.2
Model 20.0% Market 12.5% Gap +7.1pp
DraftKings 675 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 77.1
F 75.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V 78.7 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 77.1% Market 74.4% Gap +2.7pp
FanDuel -345 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.3%
78
Exit velocity92.0
91
Hard-hit%47.9%
84 +23 vs proj
xBA0.341
68
xSLG0.549
62
xwOBA0.333
71
BB%3.3%
5
Bat speed71.8
78
K%16.3%
83
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · 1B
16
Range Runs-1.6 · 1B
27
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.5 · 1B
27
Sprint Speed26.5 · 1B
28
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 55.3%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.7%
Small sample
Correct Decisions62.1%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.314 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.346
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline91
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.314 to 0.374
RegressionNegative · -0.018
Opposing pitcherMitch Spence
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)