Mithrandir Metrics
CIN 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Tj Friedl

CIN · Hitter · bats L · age 31
OUT · 2 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupCIN vs AZMichael Soroka
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 21.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 23.2% Market 12.8% Gap +10.0pp
DraftKings 655 tracking Open board
Total Bases --
Total Bases · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.1%
13
Exit velocity84.0
10
Hard-hit%33.6%
26
xBA0.272
11
xSLG0.370
7
xwOBA0.250
7 -32 vs proj
BB%7.8%
39 -24 vs proj
Bat speed66.1
13
K%22.8%
44 -38 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.0 · CF
18
Arm Strength89.9 · CF
24
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · CF
21
Range Runs1.0 · CF
67
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.7 · CF
32
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.7%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.1%
Small sample
Correct Decisions67.4%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.239
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.305
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.368
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.263 to 0.338
RegressionNegative · -0.050
Opposing pitcherMichael Soroka
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)