Mithrandir Metrics
MIN 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Matt Wallner

MIN · Hitter · bats L · age 29
OUT · 2 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupMIN vs TEXMacKenzie Gore
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 24.4
F 22.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V 26.0 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 24.4% Market 26.1% Gap +1.7pp
DraftKings 295 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.0%
62 -17 vs proj
Exit velocity89.2
60
Hard-hit%42.3%
62
xBA0.358
80
xSLG0.597
72
xwOBA0.281
24 -48 vs proj
BB%7.9%
40 -33 vs proj
Bat speed72.9
88
K%37.1%
1
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.7 · RF
8
Arm Strength99.3 · RF
95
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · RF
4
Range Runs-3.1 · RF
8
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.0 · RF
19
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.2%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.2%
Small sample
Correct Decisions64.4%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.256 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.275 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.307
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.364
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.289 to 0.384
RegressionNegative · -0.040
Opposing pitcherMacKenzie Gore
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)