Mithrandir Metrics
CWS 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Austin Hays

CWS · Hitter · bats R · age 31
IN · 5 Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupCWS vs TORShane Bieber
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 23 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 60.3
F 58.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V 61.9 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 68.3% Market 69.2% Gap +8.9pp
BetMGM -225 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.7%
9 -38 vs proj
Exit velocity87.9
48
Hard-hit%46.5%
82 +36 vs proj
xBA0.409
98
xSLG0.523
55
xwOBA0.283
26
BB%1.7%
2 -17 vs proj
Bat speed68.9
39
K%25.4%
34
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
22
Arm Runs-0.9 · LF
Small sample
Range Runs-0.7 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.3 · LF
48
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.8%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.4%
Small sample
Correct Decisions63.3%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.269 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.264 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.363
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.258 to 0.333
RegressionNo current flag
Opposing pitcherShane Bieber
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-19
Palantir 9780 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.011 14d error falling
Fangorn 9780 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 4185 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)