Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Jake Burger

TEX · Hitter · bats R · age 30

IN · 4 Neutral

MatchupTEX vs ATLChris Sale

Sample--career MLB AB

PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 0 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only

Tonight's props · all markets for this player

Home Run 0.5

P 11.9

F 13.6

V 13.1

Model 17.8% Market 20.4% Gap -2.6pp

BetMGM 390 tracking Open board

Total Bases 0.5

P 65.0

F 67.4 EXPERIMENTAL

V 65.8 EXPERIMENTAL

FULL

Model 74.5% Market 75.6% Gap +10.6pp

BetMGM -310 tracking Open board

Hits --

Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --

RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB

Insufficient sample

Percentile strips appear after the current-season sample clears the threshold.

Context

projection · regression · matchup

Projected range0.299 to 0.364

RegressionNo current flag

Opposing pitcherChris Sale

EnvironmentNeutral

Lane calibration receipts

Lane Health 2026-07-16

Palantir 9378 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable

Fangorn 9378 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable

Valinor 3783 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.006 14d stable

Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building

Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)