Mithrandir Metrics
STL 2026-06-01 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-01

Nolan Gorman

STL · Hitter · bats L · age 26
IN · 7 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupSTL vs TEX--
Sample1586.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 22 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases --
Total Bases · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Hits 0.5
P 98.0
F 98.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 98.0% Market -- Gap +31.5pp
FanDuel 550 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%11.4%
77
Barrel%5.0%
50 -27 vs proj
Bat speed71.2
73
Exit velocity89.3
58
Hard-hit%44.1%
68
K%30.1%
13
xBA0.324
51
xSLG0.569
67
xwOBA0.290
31 -22 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 3B
81
Range Runs1.6 · 3B
70
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.1 · 3B
7
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.4% · rebadged research
44
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.2% · rebadged research
69
Correct Decisions67.1% · rebadged research
59
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
53
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.224 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.361 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
validated

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.272 to 0.368
RegressionNegative · -0.009
Opposing pitcher--
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-01
Palantir 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d error falling
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)