Mithrandir Metrics
LAD 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Will Smith

LAD · Hitter · bats R · age 31
IL10 · 9 Positive regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupLAD vs TBNick Martinez
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 71.0
F 72.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V 71.0 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 71.0% Market 68.5% Gap +2.4pp
FanDuel -250 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.4%
93 +20 vs proj
Exit velocity90.1
73
Hard-hit%40.1%
52
xBA0.343
70
xSLG0.615
79
xwOBA0.386
95 +18 vs proj
BB%10.8%
73
Bat speed68.5
35
K%18.9%
70
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.8 · C
85
Catcher Throwing-0.5 · C
29
Framing Runs-0.7 · C
38
Pop Time2.0 · C
45
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.2 · C
45
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.3%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.1%
Small sample
Correct Decisions70.2%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.287 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.293
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.312 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.352
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.296 to 0.389
RegressionPositive · 0.049
Opposing pitcherNick Martinez
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)